Diala 1-1 Al Gharraf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 22 Jan 2026

Diala
1-1 HT 0-1
Al Gharraf
📅22/01/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Iraq - Premier League – 2025/2026

Diala vs Al Gharraf Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.53
Draw
43%
2.66
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
Over 2.5
27%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
8%
X/2
6%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
36%
-6.7pp
43%
Draw
34%
+9.1pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.0pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Diala v Al Gharraf — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Diala EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Gharraf EU Bookmakers 33%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
0.82/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.98
-30% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
257 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Diala vs Al Gharraf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diala and Al Gharraf couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had the draw as the likeliest outcome at 43%, and the draw held. On goals, under 2.5 goals (73%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

What was the final score of Diala vs Al Gharraf?

Diala 1-1 Al Gharraf in the Iraq - Premier League on 22/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Diala vs Al Gharraf?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Diala 29%, draw 43%, Al Gharraf 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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