22/01/2026
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Al Karkh vs Newroz Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
38%
28%
Draw
31%
28%
Away Win
30%
61%
Under 2.5
61%
39%
Over 2.5
39%
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
56%
BTTS No
56%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Karkh v Newroz — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Karkh
EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY
Newroz
EU Bookmakers 34%
-12% /
-12%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+17% /
+17%
1.33/1.71
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.67/0.90
+17%
/
-36%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+51%
/
+37%
49%
Ball Possession
51%
11
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
312 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
343 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Al Karkh vs Newroz Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Al Karkh
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Newroz
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Al Karkh vs Newroz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Karkh ran out comfortable winners over Newroz 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Karkh as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.
What was the final score of Al Karkh vs Newroz?
Al Karkh 3-0 Newroz in the Iraq - Premier League on 22/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Karkh vs Newroz?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Karkh win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Al Karkh 44%, draw 28%, Newroz 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Karkh), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Al Karkh)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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22 Jan 2026