Al Bukayriyah 1-0 Al Jabalain — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 30 Apr 2024

📅30/04/2024 · 🕒20:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
27%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.68
Over 2.5
39%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.85
No
57%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
19%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+0.6pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.7pp
27%
Away Win
32%
-5.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
50%
-7.1pp
57%
BTTS No
50%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Bukayriyah EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Jabalain EU Bookmakers 36%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -7%
1.21/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/0.92
-2% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
348 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Bukayriyah
1-0
AWAY Al Jabalain
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Al Bukayriyah vs Al Jabalain
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Bukayriyah edged past Al Jabalain 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Bukayriyah as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Bukayriyah had 40% of the ball to Al Jabalain's 60%, shots finished 12-9.

What was the final score of Al Bukayriyah vs Al Jabalain?

Al Bukayriyah 1-0 Al Jabalain in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 30/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Bukayriyah vs Al Jabalain?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Bukayriyah win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Bukayriyah 41%, draw 32%, Al Jabalain 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Bukayriyah), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Bukayriyah) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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