Al Kholood 4-1 Al Taraji — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 30 Apr 2024

📅30/04/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.18
Draw
21%
5.71
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.18
Over 2.5
46%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.44
No
60%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
29%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
80%
-15.8pp
21%
Draw
14%
+6.6pp
16%
Away Win
6%
+9.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
42%
+12.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
58%
-12.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
37%
+3.3pp
60%
BTTS No
63%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Kholood EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Taraji EU Bookmakers 9%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.97/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/2.03
+14% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / -21%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
446 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 160 · 64%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Kholood
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Taraji
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
12.12.2023 Al Taraji Al Taraji 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Kholood Al Kholood SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Kholood
4-1
AWAY Al Taraji
54% Ball Possession 46%
25 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Kholood vs Al Taraji
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Kholood swept aside Al Taraji 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Kholood as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Kholood had 54% of the ball to Al Taraji's 46%, shots finished 25-9.

What was the final score of Al Kholood vs Al Taraji?

Al Kholood 4-1 Al Taraji in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 30/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Kholood vs Al Taraji?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Kholood win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Al Kholood 64%, draw 21%, Al Taraji 16%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Kholood) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Kholood) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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