USM Alger 1-2 ASO Chlef — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 30 Apr 2025

📅30/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.28
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
4.88
6+ Goals
7%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-6.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.8pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-1.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+1.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.4pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Alger EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY ASO Chlef EU Bookmakers 25%
-9% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -12%
1.18/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.64
-10% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -25%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Alger
2W-2D-2L
AWAY ASO Chlef
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 ASO Chlef ASO Chlef 0-0 HT 0-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
25.05.2024 USM Alger USM Alger 2-1 HT 0-1 ASO Chlef ASO Chlef CZYR
05.01.2024 ASO Chlef ASO Chlef 0-1 HT 0-1 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
10.07.2023 USM Alger USM Alger 1-3 HT 1-1 ASO Chlef ASO Chlef CZYR
11.12.2022 ASO Chlef ASO Chlef 2-1 HT 1-1 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
14.04.2022 USM Alger USM Alger 1-1 HT 0-0 ASO Chlef ASO Chlef CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME USM Alger
1-2
AWAY ASO Chlef
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH USM Alger vs ASO Chlef
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ASO Chlef edged past USM Alger 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was USM Alger at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, USM Alger had 62% of the ball to ASO Chlef's 38%, shots finished 17-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for USM Alger and 1.17 for ASO Chlef.

What was the final score of USM Alger vs ASO Chlef?

USM Alger 1-2 ASO Chlef in the Algeria - 1st Division on 30/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Alger vs ASO Chlef?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split USM Alger 43%, draw 29%, ASO Chlef 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (USM Alger) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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