ASO Chlef 0-1 USM Alger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 5 Jan 2024

ASO Chlef
0-1 HT 0-1
USM Alger
📅05/01/2024 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Algeria - 1st Division – 2023/2024

ASO Chlef vs USM Alger Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.27
No
59%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.08
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
5.58
6+ Goals
7%
38.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+0.5pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.1pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.6pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

ASO Chlef v USM Alger — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ASO Chlef EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY USM Alger EU Bookmakers 25%
+10% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -25%
1.37/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.22
+1% / +94% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
410 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4

ASO Chlef vs USM Alger Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ASO Chlef
4W-1D-1L
AWAY USM Alger
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.07.2023 USM Alger USM Alger 1-3 HT 1-1 ASO Chlef ASO Chlef CZYR
11.12.2022 ASO Chlef ASO Chlef 2-1 HT 1-1 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
14.04.2022 USM Alger USM Alger 1-1 HT 0-0 ASO Chlef ASO Chlef CZYR
17.12.2021 ASO Chlef ASO Chlef 2-1 HT 2-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
16.08.2021 ASO Chlef ASO Chlef 1-0 HT 1-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
13.03.2021 USM Alger USM Alger 3-0 HT 2-0 ASO Chlef ASO Chlef CZYR

ASO Chlef 0-1 USM Alger — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ASO Chlef
0-1
AWAY USM Alger
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH ASO Chlef vs USM Alger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Alger nicked a narrow win over ASO Chlef 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was ASO Chlef at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, ASO Chlef had 60% of the ball to USM Alger's 40%, shots finished 8-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ASO Chlef had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for ASO Chlef and 1.17 for USM Alger.

What was the final score of ASO Chlef vs USM Alger?

ASO Chlef 0-1 USM Alger in the Algeria - 1st Division on 05/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ASO Chlef vs USM Alger?

Before kick-off our model rated a ASO Chlef win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split ASO Chlef 50%, draw 27%, USM Alger 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (ASO Chlef) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ASO Chlef) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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