ES Ben Aknoun 2-1 MC Oran — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 5 Jan 2024

📅05/01/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.44
Over 2.5
41%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.33
No
52%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
1.87
2-3 Goals
36%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
6.74
6+ Goals
9%
55.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.6pp
33%
Draw
32%
+1.2pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
66%
-6.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
34%
+6.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
39%
+8.8pp
52%
BTTS No
61%
-8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ES Ben Aknoun EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY MC Oran EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.02
+77% / -61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
328 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ES Ben Aknoun
2-1
AWAY MC Oran
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 11
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH ES Ben Aknoun vs MC Oran
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Ben Aknoun squeezed past MC Oran 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 33% / 29% — and on the day ES Ben Aknoun made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, ES Ben Aknoun had 42% of the ball to MC Oran's 58%, shots finished 7-13.

What was the final score of ES Ben Aknoun vs MC Oran?

ES Ben Aknoun 2-1 MC Oran in the Algeria - 1st Division on 05/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ES Ben Aknoun vs MC Oran?

Before kick-off our model rated a ES Ben Aknoun win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split ES Ben Aknoun 38%, draw 33%, MC Oran 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ES Ben Aknoun) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ES Ben Aknoun) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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