US Souf 1-4 Paradou — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 5 Jan 2024

📅05/01/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.5
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
47%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.48
Over 2.5
45%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.29
No
52%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.02
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
5.85
6+ Goals
7%
42.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
22%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
25%
+0.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
46%
Away Win
46%
+0.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
64%
-8.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
36%
+8.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+8.2pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME US Souf EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Paradou EU Bookmakers 50%
-43% / -43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.00/2.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/0.57
+2% / -57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +50%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
265 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
POST-MATCH US Souf vs Paradou
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paradou swept aside US Souf 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Paradou as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of US Souf vs Paradou?

US Souf 1-4 Paradou in the Algeria - 1st Division on 05/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for US Souf vs Paradou?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paradou win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split US Souf 25%, draw 28%, Paradou 46%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paradou) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paradou) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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