Orlando Pirates 0-1 Sekhukhune United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 30 Apr 2025

📅30/04/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.64
Over 2.5
52%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.33
No
50%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.53
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
4.29
6+ Goals
9%
22.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
63%
-6.2pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.8pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+5.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
57%
-9.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
43%
+9.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
39%
+11.0pp
50%
BTTS No
61%
-11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orlando Pirates EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Sekhukhune United EU Bookmakers 17%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +7%
1.81/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.32
+29% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +57%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
383 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 73%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
16.8 Crosses 13.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orlando Pirates
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Sekhukhune United
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.18 xG 1.07
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
395 Passes 228
84% Pass Accuracy 71%
24 Box Touches 13
13 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.02.2025 Sekhukhune United Sekhukhune United 1-2 HT 0-1 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
30.03.2024 Sekhukhune United Sekhukhune United 2-1 HT 1-0 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
07.11.2023 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 1-0 HT 0-0 Sekhukhune United Sekhukhune United GAFPSL
12.08.2023 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 5-0 HT 1-0 Sekhukhune United Sekhukhune United GAF8K
27.05.2023 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 2-1 HT 1-1 Sekhukhune United Sekhukhune United GAF8K
04.10.2022 Sekhukhune United Sekhukhune United 2-0 HT 0-0 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orlando Pirates
0-1
AWAY Sekhukhune United
1.35 xG 1.01
75% Ball Possession 25%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
411 Passes 89
85% Pass Accuracy 56%
16 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Orlando Pirates vs Sekhukhune United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sekhukhune United nicked a narrow win over Orlando Pirates 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Orlando Pirates carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Orlando Pirates had 75% of the ball to Sekhukhune United's 25%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.35 to 1.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orlando Pirates had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Orlando Pirates and 1.00 for Sekhukhune United.

What was the final score of Orlando Pirates vs Sekhukhune United?

Orlando Pirates 0-1 Sekhukhune United in the South Afrika - Premier League on 30/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orlando Pirates vs Sekhukhune United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orlando Pirates win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Orlando Pirates 57%, draw 24%, Sekhukhune United 20%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Orlando Pirates) ✗ Over 2.5
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