Mamelodi Sundowns 3-0 Richards Bay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 30 Apr 2025

📅30/04/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.33
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
19%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.81
No
61%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.56
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
4.22
6+ Goals
8%
21.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
71%
-12.7pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.3pp
19%
Away Win
9%
+9.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
32%
+7.7pp
61%
BTTS No
68%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Richards Bay EU Bookmakers 12%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.59/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.61
+42% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +50%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
409 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 200 · 69%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
13.1 Crosses 12.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Richards Bay
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.86 xG 0.82
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
547 Passes 216
88% Pass Accuracy 72%
29 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
28.12.2024 Richards Bay Richards Bay 0-2 HT 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
02.04.2024 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 1-0 HT 0-0 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAFPSL
23.08.2023 Richards Bay Richards Bay 0-1 HT 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
07.02.2023 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 3-2 HT 1-1 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAF8K
06.01.2023 Richards Bay Richards Bay 0-2 HT 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
04.02.2022 Richards Bay Richards Bay 0-4 HT 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAF8K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns
3-0
AWAY Richards Bay
1.21 xG 0.03
78% Ball Possession 22%
11 Total Shots 1
9 Shots on Target 0
1 Corners 2
802 Passes 175
92% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 9
5 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Mamelodi Sundowns vs Richards Bay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mamelodi Sundowns swept aside Richards Bay 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Mamelodi Sundowns as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Mamelodi Sundowns had 78% of the ball to Richards Bay's 22%, shots finished 11-1, expected goals 1.21 to 0.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mamelodi Sundowns had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Mamelodi Sundowns and 0.33 for Richards Bay.

What was the final score of Mamelodi Sundowns vs Richards Bay?

Mamelodi Sundowns 3-0 Richards Bay in the South Afrika - Premier League on 30/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Richards Bay?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Mamelodi Sundowns 58%, draw 23%, Richards Bay 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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