Richards Bay 0-2 Mamelodi Sundowns — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 28 Dec 2024

📅28/12/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
7.78
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
60%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.71
Over 2.5
52%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.53
No
55%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.65
2-3 Goals
37%
1.71
4-5 Goals
28%
3.96
6+ Goals
10%
19.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
36%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
10%
+6.9pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.4pp
60%
Away Win
68%
-8.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
55%
-6.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
45%
+6.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
36%
+9.2pp
55%
BTTS No
64%
-9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Richards Bay EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns EU Bookmakers 72%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -8%
0.64/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/0.76
-100% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +113%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
274 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 81%
11.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
14.3 Crosses 13.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Richards Bay
0W-0D-5L
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
0.78 xG 2.07
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
216 Passes 542
71% Pass Accuracy 88%
11 Box Touches 33
14 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.04.2024 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 1-0 HT 0-0 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAFPSL
23.08.2023 Richards Bay Richards Bay 0-1 HT 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
07.02.2023 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 3-2 HT 1-1 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAF8K
06.01.2023 Richards Bay Richards Bay 0-2 HT 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
04.02.2022 Richards Bay Richards Bay 0-4 HT 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAF8K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Richards Bay
0-2
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns
1.00 xG 0.80
33% Ball Possession 67%
15 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
217 Passes 571
75% Pass Accuracy 90%
25 Box Touches 10
28 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mamelodi Sundowns saw off Richards Bay 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Mamelodi Sundowns as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Richards Bay had 33% of the ball to Mamelodi Sundowns's 67%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 1.00 to 0.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Mamelodi Sundowns led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Richards Bay and 2.20 for Mamelodi Sundowns.

What was the final score of Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Richards Bay 0-2 Mamelodi Sundowns in the South Afrika - Premier League on 28/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Richards Bay 17%, draw 23%, Mamelodi Sundowns 60%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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