SuperSport United 1-1 Stellenbosch FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 28 Dec 2024

📅28/12/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.62
Over 2.5
36%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.45
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
16%
4.34
6+ Goals
9%
23.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.45 — our 36% vs market 32.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.1pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.8pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.7pp
64%
Under 2.5
58%
+6.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
42%
-6.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.4pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SuperSport United EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Stellenbosch FC EU Bookmakers 40%
+19% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +11%
1.27/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.72
+49% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +36%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
294 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
15.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
19.1 Crosses 15.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SuperSport United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Stellenbosch FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.96 xG 0.82
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
290 Passes 286
70% Pass Accuracy 66%
23 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.04.2024 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 4-0 HT 1-0 SuperSport United SuperSport United GAF8K
16.02.2024 SuperSport United SuperSport United 1-1 HT 1-0 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAFPSL
26.08.2023 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 1-2 HT 1-0 SuperSport United SuperSport United GAFPSL
13.08.2023 SuperSport United SuperSport United 0-1 HT 0-0 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAF8K
02.05.2023 SuperSport United SuperSport United 0-0 HT 0-0 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAFPSL
18.10.2022 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 0-2 HT 0-1 SuperSport United SuperSport United GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SuperSport United
1-1
AWAY Stellenbosch FC
1.14 xG 0.29
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
227 Passes 439
71% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 18
28 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SuperSport United vs Stellenbosch FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SuperSport United and Stellenbosch FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, SuperSport United had 39% of the ball to Stellenbosch FC's 61%, shots finished 11-4, expected goals 1.14 to 0.29.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for SuperSport United and 1.17 for Stellenbosch FC.

What was the final score of SuperSport United vs Stellenbosch FC?

SuperSport United 1-1 Stellenbosch FC in the South Afrika - Premier League on 28/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SuperSport United vs Stellenbosch FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a SuperSport United win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split SuperSport United 35%, draw 30%, Stellenbosch FC 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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