Sekhukhune United 1-0 Marumo Gallants — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 28 Dec 2024

📅28/12/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.27
No
59%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.11
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
5.28
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-0.6pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.8pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.2pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sekhukhune United EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Marumo Gallants EU Bookmakers 24%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +0%
1.66/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.15
-8% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 74%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
16.9 Crosses 18.3
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sekhukhune United
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Marumo Gallants
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
0.87 xG 1.87
44% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
326 Passes 417
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 2
04.02.2023 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 2-0 HT 1-0 Sekhukhune United Sekhukhune United GAFPSL
03.01.2023 Sekhukhune United Sekhukhune United 3-2 HT 1-1 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFPSL
21.05.2022 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 2-2 HT 0-0 Sekhukhune United Sekhukhune United GAFPSL
08.12.2021 Sekhukhune United Sekhukhune United 0-1 HT 0-0 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sekhukhune United
1-0
AWAY Marumo Gallants
1.11 xG 0.45
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
213 Passes 219
63% Pass Accuracy 65%
21 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sekhukhune United vs Marumo Gallants
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sekhukhune United nicked a narrow win over Marumo Gallants 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sekhukhune United as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sekhukhune United had 50% of the ball to Marumo Gallants's 50%, shots finished 7-8, expected goals 1.11 to 0.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Marumo Gallants led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Sekhukhune United and 1.75 for Marumo Gallants.

What was the final score of Sekhukhune United vs Marumo Gallants?

Sekhukhune United 1-0 Marumo Gallants in the South Afrika - Premier League on 28/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sekhukhune United vs Marumo Gallants?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sekhukhune United win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sekhukhune United 49%, draw 25%, Marumo Gallants 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sekhukhune United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sekhukhune United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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