Petrojet 2-3 Al Ahly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 30 Apr 2025

📅30/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.91
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
53%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under
55%
1.97
Over
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No Pick
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
32%
3.44
2-3
38%
1.78
4-5
19%
3.22
6+
11%
11.45
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.44 — our 32% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
21%
Home Win
14%
+7.8pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.4pp
53%
Away Win
66%
-12.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.8pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Petrojet The Market 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahly The Market 70%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
1.25/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/0.66
+98% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +20%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
233 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 440 · 83%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.8
17.6 Crosses 19.6
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Petrojet
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Ahly
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.95 xG 1.77
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
186 Passes 506
68% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 1
06.02.2025 Al Ahly Al Ahly 2-1 HT 1-0 Petrojet Petrojet MSR
02.07.2022 Al Ahly Al Ahly 2-0 HT 1-0 Petrojet Petrojet MSRK
20.01.2015 Al Ahly Al Ahly 1-1 HT 1-0 Petrojet Petrojet MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Petrojet
2-3
AWAY Al Ahly
1.62 xG 0.96
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 12
4 Corners 7
151 Passes 313
59% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Petrojet vs Al Ahly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahly nicked a narrow win over Petrojet 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Ahly as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Petrojet had 39% of the ball to Al Ahly's 61%, shots finished 11-21, expected goals 1.62 to 0.96 — the balance of chances actually favoured Petrojet.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Ahly led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Petrojet and 1.67 for Al Ahly.

What was the final score of Petrojet vs Al Ahly?

Petrojet 2-3 Al Ahly in the Egypt - Premier League on 30/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Petrojet vs Al Ahly?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Petrojet 21%, draw 25%, Al Ahly 53%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahly) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahly) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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