Inhulets 1-0 Zorya Luhansk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 30 Apr 2025

📅30/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
46%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.67
Over 2.5
35%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
1.9
No
64%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+0.3pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.9pp
46%
Away Win
44%
+2.6pp
64%
Under 2.5
56%
+8.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
44%
-8.4pp
36%
BTTS Yes
49%
-12.2pp
64%
BTTS No
51%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inhulets EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Zorya Luhansk EU Bookmakers 48%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -10%
0.54/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.93
-48% / +120% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
272 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 208 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inhulets
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Zorya Luhansk
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.12.2024 Inhulets Inhulets 1-0 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
04.08.2024 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 2-1 HT 1-1 Inhulets Inhulets UKR
20.05.2023 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 2-0 HT 1-0 Inhulets Inhulets UKR
08.11.2022 Inhulets Inhulets 1-0 HT 1-0 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
05.12.2021 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 1-0 HT 0-0 Inhulets Inhulets UKR
02.08.2021 Inhulets Inhulets 1-5 HT 0-2 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inhulets
1-0
AWAY Zorya Luhansk
1 Total Shots 0
1 Shots on Target 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Inhulets vs Zorya Luhansk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inhulets nicked a narrow win over Zorya Luhansk 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Zorya Luhansk at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 1-0.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zorya Luhansk led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Inhulets and 1.67 for Zorya Luhansk.

What was the final score of Inhulets vs Zorya Luhansk?

Inhulets 1-0 Zorya Luhansk in the Ukraine - Premier League on 30/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inhulets vs Zorya Luhansk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zorya Luhansk win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Inhulets 29%, draw 25%, Zorya Luhansk 46%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Zorya Luhansk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zorya Luhansk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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