Zorya Luhansk 2-1 Inhulets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.76
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
52%
-10.7pp
33%
Draw
25%
+7.6pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+3.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.2pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zorya Luhansk EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Inhulets EU Bookmakers 26%
+4% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -15%
1.81/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.51
+10% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
388 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zorya Luhansk
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Inhulets
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.05.2023 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 2-0 HT 1-0 Inhulets Inhulets UKR
08.11.2022 Inhulets Inhulets 1-0 HT 1-0 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
05.12.2021 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 1-0 HT 0-0 Inhulets Inhulets UKR
02.08.2021 Inhulets Inhulets 1-5 HT 0-2 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
11.04.2021 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 2-0 HT 0-0 Inhulets Inhulets UKR
01.11.2020 Inhulets Inhulets 1-1 HT 0-0 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
POST-MATCH Zorya Luhansk vs Inhulets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zorya Luhansk squeezed past Inhulets 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zorya Luhansk as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zorya Luhansk had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Zorya Luhansk and 0.50 for Inhulets.

What was the final score of Zorya Luhansk vs Inhulets?

Zorya Luhansk 2-1 Inhulets in the Ukraine - Premier League on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zorya Luhansk vs Inhulets?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zorya Luhansk win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Zorya Luhansk 42%, draw 33%, Inhulets 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zorya Luhansk) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zorya Luhansk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
UKR More Ukraine - Premier League
4 Aug 2024
13:00 LNZ Cherkasy vs Livyi Bereh Analysis →
15:30 Vorskla Poltava vs Shakhtar Donetsk Analysis →
15:30 Obolon Kyiv vs Kolos Kovalivka Analysis →