Vorskla Poltava 0-5 Shakhtar Donetsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
7.78
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
63%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.07
Over 2.5
61%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.09
No
47%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
35%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
10%
+5.4pp
21%
Draw
18%
+2.9pp
63%
Away Win
71%
-8.2pp
39%
Under 2.5
44%
-5.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
56%
+5.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
44%
+8.8pp
47%
BTTS No
56%
-8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vorskla Poltava EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk EU Bookmakers 75%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
0.81/2.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.46/0.64
+0% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +27%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
207 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 426 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vorskla Poltava
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.05.2024 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 1-2 HT 0-1 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKRK
14.04.2024 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 0-1 HT 0-1 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
30.09.2023 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 1-2 HT 0-1 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
04.06.2023 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 2-1 HT 1-0 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
23.11.2022 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 3-2 HT 1-0 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
23.10.2021 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 0-2 HT 0-0 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vorskla Poltava
0-5
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk
48% Ball Possession 52%
0 Total Shots
0 Shots on Target
4 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vorskla Poltava vs Shakhtar Donetsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shakhtar Donetsk ran out comfortable winners over Vorskla Poltava 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Shakhtar Donetsk as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Vorskla Poltava had 48% of the ball to Shakhtar Donetsk's 52%, shots finished 0-–.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shakhtar Donetsk led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Vorskla Poltava and 1.67 for Shakhtar Donetsk.

What was the final score of Vorskla Poltava vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Vorskla Poltava 0-5 Shakhtar Donetsk in the Ukraine - Premier League on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vorskla Poltava vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Vorskla Poltava 16%, draw 21%, Shakhtar Donetsk 63%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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