LNZ Cherkasy 1-0 Livyi Bereh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.75
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
53%
-11.0pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.9pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+6.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.8pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LNZ Cherkasy EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Livyi Bereh EU Bookmakers 24%
-75% / -75% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/1.39
-40% / -61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
397 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LNZ Cherkasy
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Livyi Bereh
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
3 Total Shots 6
4 Corners 6
12.03.2024 LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy 1-1 HT 0-0 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh UKR
03.09.2023 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh 0-0 HT 0-0 LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LNZ Cherkasy
1-0
AWAY Livyi Bereh
63% Ball Possession 37%
9 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH LNZ Cherkasy vs Livyi Bereh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LNZ Cherkasy squeezed past Livyi Bereh 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had LNZ Cherkasy as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, LNZ Cherkasy had 63% of the ball to Livyi Bereh's 37%, shots finished 9-3.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for LNZ Cherkasy and 0.50 for Livyi Bereh.

What was the final score of LNZ Cherkasy vs Livyi Bereh?

LNZ Cherkasy 1-0 Livyi Bereh in the Ukraine - Premier League on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LNZ Cherkasy vs Livyi Bereh?

Before kick-off our model rated a LNZ Cherkasy win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split LNZ Cherkasy 42%, draw 31%, Livyi Bereh 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LNZ Cherkasy), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (LNZ Cherkasy) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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