Asyut Petroleum 1-0 Ghazl Kafr El Dawar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - 2nd Division, 30 Apr 2026

📅30/04/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.32
Draw
18%
4.49
Away
10%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.51
No
62%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
33%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
3%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
71%
+0.1pp
18%
Draw
19%
-0.7pp
10%
Away Win
10%
+0.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
36%
+1.8pp
62%
BTTS No
64%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asyut Petroleum EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Ghazl Kafr El Dawar EU Bookmakers 12%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.01/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.22/1.23
+29% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -70% / +9%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
537 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asyut Petroleum
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Ghazl Kafr El Dawar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
12.12.2025 Ghazl Kafr El Dawar Ghazl Kafr El Dawar 1-2 HT 1-0 Asyut Petroleum Asyut Petroleum MSR2
09.04.2025 Asyut Petroleum Asyut Petroleum 1-1 Ghazl Kafr El Dawar Ghazl Kafr El Dawar MSR2
02.12.2024 Ghazl Kafr El Dawar Ghazl Kafr El Dawar 0-0 Asyut Petroleum Asyut Petroleum MSR2
08.01.2024 Ghazl Kafr El Dawar Ghazl Kafr El Dawar 1-1 HT 0-0 Asyut Petroleum Asyut Petroleum MSR2
POST-MATCH Asyut Petroleum vs Ghazl Kafr El Dawar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asyut Petroleum nicked a narrow win over Ghazl Kafr El Dawar 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Asyut Petroleum as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Asyut Petroleum had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Asyut Petroleum and 0.75 for Ghazl Kafr El Dawar.

What was the final score of Asyut Petroleum vs Ghazl Kafr El Dawar?

Asyut Petroleum 1-0 Ghazl Kafr El Dawar in the Egypt - 2nd Division on 30/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asyut Petroleum vs Ghazl Kafr El Dawar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asyut Petroleum win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Asyut Petroleum 71%, draw 18%, Ghazl Kafr El Dawar 10%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Asyut Petroleum), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Asyut Petroleum) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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