AS Marsa 1-0 Zarzis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 30 Apr 2026

📅30/04/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
22%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.27
No
61%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
25%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
44%
+7.3pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.5pp
22%
Away Win
26%
-3.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.0pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Marsa EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Zarzis EU Bookmakers 29%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.41/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.07
+25% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
284 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AS Marsa
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Zarzis
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.11.2025 Zarzis Zarzis 0-2 HT 0-0 AS Marsa AS Marsa TUN1
05.04.2015 AS Marsa AS Marsa 3-0 HT 0-0 Zarzis Zarzis TUN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AS Marsa
1-0
AWAY Zarzis
47% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 1
0 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AS Marsa vs Zarzis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AS Marsa nicked a narrow win over Zarzis 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had AS Marsa as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, AS Marsa had 47% of the ball to Zarzis's 53%, shots finished 5-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, AS Marsa had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for AS Marsa and 0.00 for Zarzis.

What was the final score of AS Marsa vs Zarzis?

AS Marsa 1-0 Zarzis in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 30/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Marsa vs Zarzis?

Before kick-off our model rated a AS Marsa win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split AS Marsa 52%, draw 26%, Zarzis 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AS Marsa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AS Marsa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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