Kairouan 0-1 Ben Guerdane — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 30 Apr 2026

Kairouan
0-1 HT 0-1
Ben Guerdane
📅30/04/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Tunisia - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Kairouan vs Ben Guerdane Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.92
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
31%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.44
No
53%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
48%
-9.3pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.4pp
31%
Away Win
22%
+9.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
37%
+10.0pp
53%
BTTS No
63%
-10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kairouan v Ben Guerdane — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kairouan EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Ben Guerdane EU Bookmakers 25%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/0.85
-14% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +21%
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
4.1 Yellow Cards 3.3

Kairouan vs Ben Guerdane Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kairouan
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Ben Guerdane
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
01.11.2025 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane 2-0 HT 1-0 Kairouan Kairouan TUN1
03.04.2021 Kairouan Kairouan 1-3 HT 1-2 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane TUN1
23.01.2021 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane 2-0 HT 1-0 Kairouan Kairouan TUN1
16.02.2020 Kairouan Kairouan 0-1 HT 0-0 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane TUN1
29.08.2019 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane 0-1 HT 0-0 Kairouan Kairouan TUN1
POST-MATCH Kairouan vs Ben Guerdane
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ben Guerdane nicked a narrow win over Kairouan 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Ben Guerdane found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ben Guerdane led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Kairouan and 1.60 for Ben Guerdane.

What was the final score of Kairouan vs Ben Guerdane?

Kairouan 0-1 Ben Guerdane in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 30/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kairouan vs Ben Guerdane?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kairouan win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kairouan 39%, draw 30%, Ben Guerdane 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kairouan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kairouan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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