Independiente Rivadavia 1-2 Banfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Cup, 30 May 2024

📅30/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
40%
2.83
Away
30%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
65%
Over
35%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.27
No
57%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2.02
2-3
47%
1.84
4-5
13%
6.5
6+
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
22%
2/1
3%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+3.2pp
40%
Draw
32%
+8.1pp
30%
Away Win
41%
-11.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.2pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Rivadavia EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Banfield EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -38%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
284 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Rivadavia
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Banfield
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.04 xG 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
299 Passes 192
79% Pass Accuracy 67%
12 Box Touches 21
34 Crosses 32
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.04.2024 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia 1-2 HT 1-2 Banfield Banfield ARJ
04.05.2014 Banfield Banfield 4-0 HT 2-0 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Rivadavia
1-2
AWAY Banfield
1.07 xG 1.73
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
302 Passes 209
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
13 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banfield nicked a narrow win over Independiente Rivadavia 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 40% / 30% — and on the day Banfield made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Independiente Rivadavia had 57% of the ball to Banfield's 43%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.07 to 1.73.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Banfield led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Independiente Rivadavia and 3.00 for Banfield.

What was the final score of Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield?

Independiente Rivadavia 1-2 Banfield in the Argentina - Cup on 30/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Independiente Rivadavia 30%, draw 40%, Banfield 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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