USM Alger 0-2 ES Ben Aknoun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 30 May 2024

USM Alger
0-2 HT 0-1
ES Ben Aknoun
📅30/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Algeria - 1st Division – 2023/2024

USM Alger vs ES Ben Aknoun Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
17%
3.72
Away
32%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.4
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
26%
3.48
6+ Goals
9%
13.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 28% vs market 23.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-2.2pp
17%
Draw
24%
-6.5pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+8.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.5pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

USM Alger v ES Ben Aknoun — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Alger EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY ES Ben Aknoun EU Bookmakers 27%
+3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +52% / +52%
1.81/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.00
+28% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / –
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
358 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards –

USM Alger vs ES Ben Aknoun Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Alger
1W-0D-0L
AWAY ES Ben Aknoun
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.01.2024 ES Ben Aknoun ES Ben Aknoun 1-2 HT 0-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR

USM Alger 0-2 ES Ben Aknoun — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME USM Alger
0-2
AWAY ES Ben Aknoun
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH USM Alger vs ES Ben Aknoun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Ben Aknoun saw off USM Alger 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was USM Alger at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, USM Alger had 59% of the ball to ES Ben Aknoun's 41%, shots finished 13-13.

What was the final score of USM Alger vs ES Ben Aknoun?

USM Alger 0-2 ES Ben Aknoun in the Algeria - 1st Division on 30/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Alger vs ES Ben Aknoun?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split USM Alger 51%, draw 17%, ES Ben Aknoun 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (USM Alger), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (USM Alger) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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