Northern Virginia 0-1 Lionsbridge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 30 May 2024

📅30/05/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.08
Draw
35%
3.94
Away
41%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.59
Over 2.5
53%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.46
No
49%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
20%
X/X
26%
2/1
3%
2/2
16%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
29%
-4.6pp
35%
Draw
22%
+13.2pp
41%
Away Win
49%
-8.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
35%
+12.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
65%
-12.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
64%
-13.2pp
49%
BTTS No
36%
+13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Northern Virginia EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Lionsbridge EU Bookmakers 54%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
2.01/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.49
+28% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +5%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
272 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Northern Virginia
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Lionsbridge
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
5 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 11
4 Yellow Cards 3
22.06.2023 Northern Virginia Northern Virginia 3-2 HT 1-0 Lionsbridge Lionsbridge USL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Northern Virginia
0-1
AWAY Lionsbridge
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Northern Virginia vs Lionsbridge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lionsbridge squeezed past Northern Virginia 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lionsbridge as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Northern Virginia had 55% of the ball to Lionsbridge's 45%, shots finished 7-15.

What was the final score of Northern Virginia vs Lionsbridge?

Northern Virginia 0-1 Lionsbridge in the USA - USL League 2 on 30/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Northern Virginia vs Lionsbridge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lionsbridge win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Northern Virginia 24%, draw 35%, Lionsbridge 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lionsbridge) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lionsbridge) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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