Tampa Bay United 0-2 Sarasota Paradise — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 30 May 2024

📅30/05/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
47%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
42%
-14.6pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
47%
Away Win
31%
+15.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.9pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tampa Bay United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sarasota Paradise EU Bookmakers 34%
+44% / +44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
4.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/2.43
+138% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -28%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Tampa Bay United vs Sarasota Paradise
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sarasota Paradise got the better of Tampa Bay United 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sarasota Paradise as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Tampa Bay United vs Sarasota Paradise?

Tampa Bay United 0-2 Sarasota Paradise in the USA - USL League 2 on 30/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tampa Bay United vs Sarasota Paradise?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sarasota Paradise win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Tampa Bay United 28%, draw 25%, Sarasota Paradise 47%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sarasota Paradise), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sarasota Paradise) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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