Hoang Anh Gia Lai 1-1 Thanh Hoa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Vietnam - V-League 1, 30 May 2024

📅30/05/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
35%
+5.9pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.5pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.4pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hoang Anh Gia Lai EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Thanh Hoa EU Bookmakers 40%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.45/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.27
+17% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
244 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hoang Anh Gia Lai
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Thanh Hoa
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2024 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa 1-2 HT 0-1 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai VİET
19.05.2023 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai 2-2 HT 1-0 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa VİET
13.11.2022 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa 2-3 HT 0-1 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai VİET
24.07.2022 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai 2-0 HT 1-0 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa VİET
28.04.2021 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa 1-2 HT 0-0 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai VİET
POST-MATCH Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Thanh Hoa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoang Anh Gia Lai and Thanh Hoa couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Hoang Anh Gia Lai at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Hoang Anh Gia Lai had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Hoang Anh Gia Lai and 1.20 for Thanh Hoa.

What was the final score of Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Thanh Hoa?

Hoang Anh Gia Lai 1-1 Thanh Hoa in the Vietnam - V-League 1 on 30/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Thanh Hoa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hoang Anh Gia Lai win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hoang Anh Gia Lai 41%, draw 25%, Thanh Hoa 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hoang Anh Gia Lai), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hoang Anh Gia Lai) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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