Nosaby IF 2-1 Österlen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 30 May 2025

📅30/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
46%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-0.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.5pp
46%
Away Win
46%
-0.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.2pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nosaby IF EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Österlen EU Bookmakers 50%
-9% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -30%
1.45/1.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/2.07
-7% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -28%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nosaby IF
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Österlen
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.08.2024 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF 0-3 HT 0-1 Österlen Österlen İSÇ4
29.03.2024 Österlen Österlen 1-1 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF İSÇ4
24.09.2023 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF 1-2 HT 1-0 Österlen Österlen İSÇ4
02.06.2023 Österlen Österlen 1-1 HT 0-0 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF İSÇ4
01.10.2022 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF 2-1 HT 0-1 Österlen Österlen İSÇ4
28.07.2020 Österlen Österlen 1-0 HT 0-0 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Nosaby IF vs Österlen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nosaby IF squeezed past Österlen 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Österlen at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Österlen led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Nosaby IF and 1.50 for Österlen.

What was the final score of Nosaby IF vs Österlen?

Nosaby IF 2-1 Österlen in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 30/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nosaby IF vs Österlen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Österlen win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Nosaby IF 29%, draw 25%, Österlen 46%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Österlen), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Österlen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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