Ethiopia Nigd Bank 1-2 Dire Dawa Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 30 May 2025

📅30/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.54
Over 2.5
28%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.19
No
66%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
47%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
17%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-6.6pp
33%
Draw
30%
+2.5pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+4.1pp
72%
Under 2.5
61%
+10.8pp
28%
Over 2.5
39%
-10.8pp
34%
BTTS Yes
42%
-7.6pp
66%
BTTS No
58%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ethiopia Nigd Bank EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Dire Dawa Kenema EU Bookmakers 29%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
0.83/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/0.96
-20% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
213 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ethiopia Nigd Bank
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Dire Dawa Kenema
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.12.2024 Dire Dawa Kenema Dire Dawa Kenema 0-0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Nigd Bank ETH
31.03.2024 Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Nigd Bank 1-1 HT 0-1 Dire Dawa Kenema Dire Dawa Kenema ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ethiopia Nigd Bank
1-2
AWAY Dire Dawa Kenema
60% Ball Possession 40%
5 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Dire Dawa Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dire Dawa Kenema edged past Ethiopia Nigd Bank 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 33% / 29%) promised a tight game; Dire Dawa Kenema found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ethiopia Nigd Bank had 60% of the ball to Dire Dawa Kenema's 40%, shots finished 5-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ethiopia Nigd Bank and 0.50 for Dire Dawa Kenema.

What was the final score of Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Dire Dawa Kenema?

Ethiopia Nigd Bank 1-2 Dire Dawa Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 30/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Dire Dawa Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ethiopia Nigd Bank win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ethiopia Nigd Bank 38%, draw 33%, Dire Dawa Kenema 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ethiopia Nigd Bank) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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