Al Ittihad-Jeddah 3-1 Al-Qadsiah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey, 30 May 2025

Al Ittihad-Jeddah
3-1 HT 2-1
Al-Qadsiah
📅30/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey – 2024/2025

Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al-Qadsiah Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.18
Over 2.5
58%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.21
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
27%
2.84
6+ Goals
12%
8.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
-0.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
42%
+0.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
58%
-0.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.2pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Ittihad-Jeddah v Al-Qadsiah — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Al-Qadsiah EU Bookmakers 31%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
2.75/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.78
+45% / -59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
304 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 82%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.0
12.4 Crosses 28.0
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.0

Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al-Qadsiah Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Al-Qadsiah
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.50 xG 1.34
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
427 Passes 346
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.03.2025 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
19.10.2024 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 3-1 HT 1-1 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD
28.02.2021 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 1-4 HT 1-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
27.11.2020 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 1-0 HT 1-0 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD
10.01.2019 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
15.09.2018 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 0-3 HT 0-1 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD

Al Ittihad-Jeddah 3-1 Al-Qadsiah — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah
3-1
AWAY Al-Qadsiah
2.99 xG 1.73
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 1
540 Passes 322
90% Pass Accuracy 83%
33 Box Touches 16
11 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al-Qadsiah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ittihad-Jeddah beat Al-Qadsiah 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Ittihad-Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Ittihad-Jeddah had 60% of the ball to Al-Qadsiah's 40%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 2.99 to 1.73.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ittihad-Jeddah had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Ittihad-Jeddah and 1.00 for Al-Qadsiah.

What was the final score of Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al-Qadsiah?

Al Ittihad-Jeddah 3-1 Al-Qadsiah in the Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey on 30/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al-Qadsiah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ittihad-Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Al Ittihad-Jeddah 46%, draw 25%, Al-Qadsiah 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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