Al Ittihad-Jeddah 3-1 Al-Qadsiah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.72
2-3 Goals
37%
1.92
4-5 Goals
28%
2.84
6+ Goals
12%
7.87
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-2.5pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.0pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.9pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Al-Qadsiah EU Bookmakers 28%
+5% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.88/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.79
+3% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
375 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 80%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
20.3 Crosses 14.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Al-Qadsiah
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.53 xG 0.92
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
410 Passes 306
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.02.2021 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 1-4 HT 1-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
27.11.2020 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 1-0 HT 1-0 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD
10.01.2019 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
15.09.2018 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 0-3 HT 0-1 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD
09.02.2018 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
25.10.2017 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 0-0 HT 0-0 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah
3-1
AWAY Al-Qadsiah
2.10 xG 2.07
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
437 Passes 355
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 34
17 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al-Qadsiah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ittihad-Jeddah saw off Al-Qadsiah 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Ittihad-Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Al Ittihad-Jeddah had 54% of the ball to Al-Qadsiah's 46%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 2.10 to 2.07.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ittihad-Jeddah had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Ittihad-Jeddah and 0.67 for Al-Qadsiah.

What was the final score of Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al-Qadsiah?

Al Ittihad-Jeddah 3-1 Al-Qadsiah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al-Qadsiah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ittihad-Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Al Ittihad-Jeddah 50%, draw 26%, Al-Qadsiah 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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