Damac FC 2-2 Al Taawon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒18:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.86
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.09
6+ Goals
6%
19.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 32% vs market 29.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
23%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+5.0pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
32%
Away Win
35%
-2.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.9pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Damac FC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Taawon EU Bookmakers 38%
+15% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +18%
1.35/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.25
+7% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +38%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
290 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
19.2 Crosses 17.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Damac FC
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Al Taawon
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.87 xG 1.30
47% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
310 Passes 357
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2024 Damac FC Damac FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
05.11.2023 Al Taawon Al Taawon 0-0 HT 0-0 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
04.03.2023 Damac FC Damac FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
16.09.2022 Al Taawon Al Taawon 1-1 HT 0-0 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
27.06.2022 Damac FC Damac FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
01.01.2022 Al Taawon Al Taawon 3-0 HT 1-0 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Damac FC
2-2
AWAY Al Taawon
0.69 xG 0.82
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
301 Passes 425
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
19 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Damac FC vs Al Taawon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Damac FC and Al Taawon couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Damac FC at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Damac FC had 43% of the ball to Al Taawon's 57%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 0.69 to 0.82.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Taawon led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Damac FC and 1.33 for Al Taawon.

What was the final score of Damac FC vs Al Taawon?

Damac FC 2-2 Al Taawon in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Damac FC vs Al Taawon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Damac FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Damac FC 42%, draw 26%, Al Taawon 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Damac FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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