Damac FC 0-1 Al Taawon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.19
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.68
6+ Goals
9%
15.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 31% vs market 25.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.7pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Damac FC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Taawon EU Bookmakers 40%
+19% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +17%
1.36/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.25
+25% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +34%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
264 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 77%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
21.7 Crosses 18.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Damac FC
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Al Taawon
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.17 xG 1.13
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
280 Passes 363
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2023 Al Taawon Al Taawon 0-0 HT 0-0 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
04.03.2023 Damac FC Damac FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
16.09.2022 Al Taawon Al Taawon 1-1 HT 0-0 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
27.06.2022 Damac FC Damac FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
01.01.2022 Al Taawon Al Taawon 3-0 HT 1-0 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
30.05.2021 Damac FC Damac FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Damac FC
0-1
AWAY Al Taawon
1.29 xG 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
333 Passes 281
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 12
11 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Damac FC vs Al Taawon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Taawon edged past Damac FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Al Taawon found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Damac FC had 53% of the ball to Al Taawon's 47%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 1.29 to 1.50.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Taawon led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Damac FC and 1.17 for Al Taawon.

What was the final score of Damac FC vs Al Taawon?

Damac FC 0-1 Al Taawon in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Damac FC vs Al Taawon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Damac FC win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Damac FC 37%, draw 27%, Al Taawon 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Damac FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Damac FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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