Al Hilal Riyadh 3-1 Al Fateh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.3
Draw
21%
5.15
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
3.14
Over 2.5
60%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
7.73
2-3 Goals
35%
2.28
4-5 Goals
31%
2.41
6+ Goals
12%
4.37
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
72%
-14.5pp
21%
Draw
16%
+5.1pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+9.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
28%
+12.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
72%
-12.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.2pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Fateh EU Bookmakers 15%
-1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +21%
2.50/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/2.03
+12% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +29%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
422 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 78%
39.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
25.6 Crosses 14.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Al Fateh
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.36 xG 1.26
58% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
401 Passes 277
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2023 Al Fateh Al Fateh 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
14.03.2023 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 3-1 HT 1-1 Al Fateh Al Fateh SAKK
06.03.2023 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
04.09.2022 Al Fateh Al Fateh 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
23.06.2022 Al Fateh Al Fateh 0-3 HT 0-2 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
25.12.2021 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 2-3 HT 1-1 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh
3-1
AWAY Al Fateh
2.67 xG 0.29
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
456 Passes 296
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
34 Box Touches 10
28 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Fateh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hilal Riyadh got the better of Al Fateh 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Hilal Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Hilal Riyadh had 58% of the ball to Al Fateh's 42%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 2.67 to 0.29.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Hilal Riyadh had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Hilal Riyadh and 1.00 for Al Fateh.

What was the final score of Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Fateh?

Al Hilal Riyadh 3-1 Al Fateh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Fateh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Al Hilal Riyadh 58%, draw 21%, Al Fateh 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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