Al Raed 2-2 Al Wehda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒18:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.06
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.82
6+ Goals
8%
16.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.06 — our 29% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-5.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.5pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Raed EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Wehda EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
1.57/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.14
-5% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
370 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 77%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
17.7 Crosses 18.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Raed
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Wehda
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.93 xG 0.75
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
276 Passes 333
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.05.2024 Al Wehda Al Wehda 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
02.12.2023 Al Raed Al Raed 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
17.02.2023 Al Wehda Al Wehda 2-2 HT 0-1 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
01.09.2022 Al Raed Al Raed 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
17.02.2021 Al Raed Al Raed 1-3 HT 1-1 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
05.11.2020 Al Wehda Al Wehda 2-3 HT 2-2 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Raed
2-2
AWAY Al Wehda
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
298 Passes 325
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
POST-MATCH Al Raed vs Al Wehda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Raed and Al Wehda couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Al Raed at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Raed had 48% of the ball to Al Wehda's 52%, shots finished 8-19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Raed had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Raed and 1.17 for Al Wehda.

What was the final score of Al Raed vs Al Wehda?

Al Raed 2-2 Al Wehda in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Raed vs Al Wehda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Raed win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Raed 42%, draw 25%, Al Wehda 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Raed) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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