Al Wehda 0-1 Al Raed — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 16 May 2024

📅16/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.62
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.33
6+ Goals
10%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.62 — our 26% vs market 22.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-0.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.2pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wehda EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Raed EU Bookmakers 40%
-7% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
1.25/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.34
-8% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
321 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 80%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
19.1 Crosses 16.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wehda
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Al Raed
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.86 xG 0.98
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
352 Passes 264
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2023 Al Raed Al Raed 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
17.02.2023 Al Wehda Al Wehda 2-2 HT 0-1 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
01.09.2022 Al Raed Al Raed 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
17.02.2021 Al Raed Al Raed 1-3 HT 1-1 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
05.11.2020 Al Wehda Al Wehda 2-3 HT 2-2 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
09.08.2020 Al Wehda Al Wehda 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Wehda
0-1
AWAY Al Raed
0.47 xG 0.85
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
244 Passes 270
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 11
19 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Wehda vs Al Raed
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Raed edged past Al Wehda 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Al Raed found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Al Wehda had 48% of the ball to Al Raed's 52%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.47 to 0.85.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Raed led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al Wehda and 1.50 for Al Raed.

What was the final score of Al Wehda vs Al Raed?

Al Wehda 0-1 Al Raed in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wehda vs Al Raed?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Wehda win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Al Wehda 38%, draw 25%, Al Raed 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Wehda) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Wehda) ✓ BTTS No
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