Al Taee 3-1 Al Fateh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 16 May 2024

📅16/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.49
No
44%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.78
2-3 Goals
39%
1.92
4-5 Goals
25%
2.82
6+ Goals
12%
7.74
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.9pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
39%
Away Win
39%
-0.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.4pp
44%
BTTS No
37%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Taee EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Fateh EU Bookmakers 43%
+10% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +12%
1.21/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.25
+20% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
309 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 81%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
18.3 Crosses 17.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Taee
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Fateh
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.00 xG 1.09
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
277 Passes 386
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2023 Al Fateh Al Fateh 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Taee Al Taee SUUD
02.03.2023 Al Fateh Al Fateh 2-3 HT 1-2 Al Taee Al Taee SUUD
22.12.2022 Al Fateh Al Fateh 2-2 HT 1-0 Al Taee Al Taee SAKK
14.09.2022 Al Taee Al Taee 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
22.05.2022 Al Fateh Al Fateh 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Taee Al Taee SUUD
20.11.2021 Al Taee Al Taee 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Taee
3-1
AWAY Al Fateh
1.55 xG 1.51
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
277 Passes 296
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 20
31 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Taee vs Al Fateh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Taee beat Al Fateh 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Al Taee found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Taee had 50% of the ball to Al Fateh's 50%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 1.55 to 1.51.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Taee had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Taee and 0.83 for Al Fateh.

What was the final score of Al Taee vs Al Fateh?

Al Taee 3-1 Al Fateh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Taee vs Al Fateh?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Fateh win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Taee 35%, draw 26%, Al Fateh 39%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Fateh) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Fateh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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