Al Khaleej 1-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 16 May 2024

Al Khaleej
1-1 HT 0-1
Al Ittihad-Jeddah
📅16/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League – 2023/2024

Al Khaleej vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.4
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals
22%
2.94
6+ Goals
12%
8.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
33%
-1.7pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.3pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-2.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.6pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Khaleej v Al Ittihad-Jeddah — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Khaleej EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah EU Bookmakers 48%
-8% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
0.95/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.23
-19% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
308 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
17.5 Crosses 17.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9

Al Khaleej vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Khaleej
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
0.80 xG 2.40
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
275 Passes 358
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 29
12 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
30.11.2023 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 4-2 HT 2-1 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
03.03.2023 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 0-3 HT 0-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
15.09.2022 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
03.01.2017 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
21.03.2015 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD

Al Khaleej 1-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Khaleej
1-1
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah
0.93 xG 1.73
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
328 Passes 358
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 34
18 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Khaleej vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Khaleej and Al Ittihad-Jeddah shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (32% / 28% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Al Khaleej had 49% of the ball to Al Ittihad-Jeddah's 51%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.93 to 1.73.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al Ittihad-Jeddah led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Al Khaleej and 2.20 for Al Ittihad-Jeddah.

What was the final score of Al Khaleej vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah?

Al Khaleej 1-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Khaleej vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ittihad-Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Khaleej 32%, draw 28%, Al Ittihad-Jeddah 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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