Ceuta 1-0 Albacete — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 30 May 2026

📅30/05/2026 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
43%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
4.16
2-3 Goals
34%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
2.86
6+ Goals
14%
8.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
3.69
1/2
5%
24.8
1/X
4%
11.9
X/1
13%
6.11
X/2
17%
5.93
X/X
16%
5.06
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
21%
3.52
2/X
6%
11.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
37%
-5.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
43%
Away Win
37%
+5.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.7pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceuta EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Albacete EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -19%
1.20/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.47
+1% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 81%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
23.4 Crosses 18.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceuta
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Albacete
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.24 xG 1.61
60% Ball Possession 40%
3 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
354 Passes 212
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
13 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 1
12.10.2025 Albacete Albacete 0-0 HT 0-0 Ceuta Ceuta İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ceuta
1-0
AWAY Albacete
0.66 xG 1.45
61% Ball Possession 39%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
450 Passes 253
90% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 32
22 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ceuta vs Albacete
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceuta squeezed past Albacete 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Albacete at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ceuta had 61% of the ball to Albacete's 39%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.66 to 1.45 — on chances, Albacete could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Ceuta vs Albacete?

Ceuta 1-0 Albacete in the Spain - 2nd Division on 30/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceuta vs Albacete?

Before kick-off our model rated an Albacete win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ceuta 31%, draw 26%, Albacete 43%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Albacete) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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