Granada vs Sporting Gijon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Granada v Sporting Gijon — Team-Based Signals
Granada vs Sporting Gijon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Granada
İS2
5-0
HT 2-0
Sporting Gijon
İS2
1-0
HT 1-0
Granada
İS2
Granada 1-2 Sporting Gijon — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting Gijon squeezed past Granada 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Granada at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Granada had 58% of the ball to Sporting Gijon's 42%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.76 to 0.36.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Granada and 0.83 for Sporting Gijon.
What was the final score of Granada vs Sporting Gijon?
Granada 1-2 Sporting Gijon in the Spain - 2nd Division on 30/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Granada vs Sporting Gijon?
Before kick-off our model rated a Granada win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Granada 42%, draw 28%, Sporting Gijon 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Granada), Under 2.5 went the other way.