Busan I Park 4-1 Paju Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 30 May 2026

📅30/05/2026 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.87
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
23%
3.61
6+ Goals
9%
15.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
57%
-0.5pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.6pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Paju Citizen EU Bookmakers 21%
-18% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +69% / +69%
1.35/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-20% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% /
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
352 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.3 Crosses 16.0
0.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Busan I Park
4-1
AWAY Paju Citizen
49% Ball Possession 51%
19 Total Shots 18
9 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
271 Passes 205
11 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Busan I Park vs Paju Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busan I Park swept aside Paju Citizen 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Busan I Park as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Busan I Park had 49% of the ball to Paju Citizen's 51%, shots finished 19-18.

What was the final score of Busan I Park vs Paju Citizen?

Busan I Park 4-1 Paju Citizen in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 30/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Busan I Park vs Paju Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Busan I Park win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Busan I Park 57%, draw 22%, Paju Citizen 21%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Busan I Park), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Busan I Park) ✓ Over 2.5
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