Gimhae City 1-2 Gimpo Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 30 May 2026

📅30/05/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.13
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
53%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.95
No
47%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.73
2-3 Goals
42%
1.7
4-5 Goals
21%
3.8
6+ Goals
10%
17.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
21%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
21%
-1.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
53%
Away Win
53%
-0.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.2pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimhae City EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimpo Citizen EU Bookmakers 57%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.47
-2% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +94%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
311 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.0 Crosses 16.5
3.0 Yellow Cards 0.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimhae City
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Gimpo Citizen
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
13.11.2021 Gimhae City Gimhae City 1-1 HT 1-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GK3L
19.06.2021 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 1-2 HT 0-1 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimhae City
1-2
AWAY Gimpo Citizen
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
260 Passes 351
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gimhae City vs Gimpo Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimpo Citizen nicked a narrow win over Gimhae City 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gimpo Citizen as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Gimhae City had 46% of the ball to Gimpo Citizen's 54%, shots finished 16-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gimhae City had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gimhae City and 1.00 for Gimpo Citizen.

What was the final score of Gimhae City vs Gimpo Citizen?

Gimhae City 1-2 Gimpo Citizen in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 30/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimhae City vs Gimpo Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gimpo Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Gimhae City 20%, draw 27%, Gimpo Citizen 53%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimpo Citizen), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gimpo Citizen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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