Supra du Québec 3-1 York United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 30 May 2026

📅30/05/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.91
Over
47%
1.84
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.64
No
49%
2.12
Total Goals
0-1
30%
3.27
2-3
43%
1.74
4-5
20%
3.23
6+
7%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.27 — our 30% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Supra du Québec The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY York United The Market 42%
Great Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Great Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.18 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.34
1.24 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.33
Great Attackvs comparable teams Bad
Strong Defensevs comparable teams Strong
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 80%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
26.0 Crosses 17.8
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Supra du Québec
3-1
AWAY York United
1.44 xG 0.23
REVIEW Supra du Québec vs York United
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Supra du Québec had too much for York United 3-1. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 39%) promised a tight game; Supra du Québec found the edge the numbers couldn't.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 51%, coin-flips both. The market went further still — the BTTS-yes price closed at 1.64, about 61%.

Under the surface, expected goals 1.44 to 0.23.

Supra du Québec vs York United Result & Final Score

Supra du Québec 3-1 York United in the Kanada - Premier League on 30/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Supra du Québec vs York United Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an York United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Supra du Québec 37%, draw 24%, York United 39%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (York United), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (York United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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