HFX Wanderers 1-0 Vancouver FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 30 May 2026

📅30/05/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.86
Over
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.67
No
50%
2.07
Total Goals
0-1
29%
3.13
2-3
44%
1.72
4-5
19%
3.35
6+
8%
13.1
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.13 — our 29% vs market 24.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HFX Wanderers The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Vancouver FC The Market 39%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.54/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.48
+3% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
17.2 Crosses 15.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HFX Wanderers
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Vancouver FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.28 xG 1.43
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
353 Passes 302
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.04.2026 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 0-1 HT 0-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
29.09.2025 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 3-1 HT 2-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
04.08.2025 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 1-2 HT 0-1 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
21.06.2025 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 1-0 HT 0-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
18.05.2025 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 0-2 HT 0-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
05.10.2024 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HFX Wanderers
1-0
AWAY Vancouver FC
0.65 xG 1.58
4 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 8
364 Passes 435
9 Box Touches 30
11 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW HFX Wanderers vs Vancouver FC
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

HFX Wanderers squeezed past Vancouver FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

From a near-even 37% / 26% / 37% read, it was HFX Wanderers who turned the coin-flip their way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

The match data tells the story: shots finished 4-15, expected goals 0.65 to 1.58 — on chances, Vancouver FC could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, HFX Wanderers had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for HFX Wanderers against 1.00 for Vancouver FC.

HFX Wanderers vs Vancouver FC Result & Final Score

HFX Wanderers 1-0 Vancouver FC in the Kanada - Premier League on 30/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

HFX Wanderers vs Vancouver FC Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a HFX Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split HFX Wanderers 37%, draw 26%, Vancouver FC 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Under 2.5
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