HFX Wanderers vs Vancouver FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
HFX Wanderers v Vancouver FC — Team-Based Signals
HFX Wanderers vs Vancouver FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
HFX Wanderers
CAPL
3-0
HT 1-0
Vancouver FC
CAPL
2-1
HT 1-1
HFX Wanderers
KAPL
HFX Wanderers 1-1 Vancouver FC — Actual Match Statistics
HFX Wanderers and Vancouver FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was HFX Wanderers at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, HFX Wanderers had 64% of the ball to Vancouver FC's 36%, shots finished 26-8, expected goals 2.55 to 1.75.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for HFX Wanderers and 1.33 for Vancouver FC.
What was the final score of HFX Wanderers vs Vancouver FC?
HFX Wanderers 1-1 Vancouver FC in the Kanada - Premier League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for HFX Wanderers vs Vancouver FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a HFX Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split HFX Wanderers 47%, draw 31%, Vancouver FC 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (HFX Wanderers) went the other way.