HFX Wanderers 1-0 Vancouver FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 21 Jun 2025

📅21/06/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
1.95
Over
37%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.88
No
61%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
37%
3.37
2-3
40%
1.78
4-5
16%
3.27
6+
7%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.37 — our 37% vs market 23.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HFX Wanderers The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Vancouver FC The Market 21%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
2.27/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.86
-15% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +41%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
357 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 77%
33.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.8
22.9 Crosses 13.1
3.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HFX Wanderers
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Vancouver FC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.97 xG 1.39
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
355 Passes 319
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.05.2025 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 0-2 HT 0-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
05.10.2024 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
05.08.2024 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 3-2 HT 1-1 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
24.06.2024 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 0-4 HT 0-2 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers CAPL
19.04.2024 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 2-0 HT 1-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers CAPL
23.09.2023 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 2-1 HT 0-1 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HFX Wanderers
1-0
AWAY Vancouver FC
0.96 xG 0.44
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 6
235 Passes 327
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 12
28 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW HFX Wanderers vs Vancouver FC
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

HFX Wanderers squeezed past Vancouver FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had HFX Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

The match data tells the story: HFX Wanderers had 44% of the ball to Vancouver FC's 56%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.96 to 0.44.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, HFX Wanderers had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for HFX Wanderers and 1.17 for Vancouver FC.

HFX Wanderers vs Vancouver FC Result & Final Score

HFX Wanderers 1-0 Vancouver FC in the Kanada - Premier League on 21/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

HFX Wanderers vs Vancouver FC Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a HFX Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split HFX Wanderers 50%, draw 29%, Vancouver FC 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HFX Wanderers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (HFX Wanderers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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