Vancouver FC 3-1 HFX Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 29 Sep 2025

📅29/09/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.99
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
52%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
2.03
Over
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.61
No Pick
54%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.67
2-3
40%
1.78
4-5
22%
3.01
6+
10%
9.89
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.67 — our 28% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vancouver FC The Market 33%
Head to Head
AWAY HFX Wanderers The Market 49%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
0.94/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.00
-26% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -21%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
321 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 81%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.7
18.9 Crosses 20.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vancouver FC
1W-1D-4L
AWAY HFX Wanderers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.33 xG 1.91
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
287 Passes 330
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.08.2025 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 1-2 HT 0-1 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
21.06.2025 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 1-0 HT 0-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
18.05.2025 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 0-2 HT 0-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
05.10.2024 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
05.08.2024 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 3-2 HT 1-1 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
24.06.2024 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 0-4 HT 0-2 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vancouver FC
3-1
AWAY HFX Wanderers
1.45 xG 0.86
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 6
323 Passes 457
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
13 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Vancouver FC vs HFX Wanderers
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Vancouver FC put daylight between themselves and HFX Wanderers 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We leaned HFX Wanderers at 52% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 49% and both teams to score at 46%, coin-flips both. The market went further still — the BTTS-yes price closed at 1.61, about 62%.

Under the surface, Vancouver FC had 42% of the ball to HFX Wanderers's 58%, shots finished 6-10, expected goals 1.45 to 0.86.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, HFX Wanderers led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Vancouver FC and 2.00 for HFX Wanderers.

Vancouver FC vs HFX Wanderers Result & Final Score

Vancouver FC 3-1 HFX Wanderers in the Kanada - Premier League on 29/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Vancouver FC vs HFX Wanderers Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an HFX Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Vancouver FC 25%, draw 23%, HFX Wanderers 52%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (HFX Wanderers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →