HFX Wanderers 1-2 Vancouver FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 4 Aug 2025

📅04/08/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
58%
1.64
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.29
Over
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.59
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
26%
4.46
2-3
44%
1.87
4-5
20%
2.71
6+
10%
7.32
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.46 — our 26% vs market 16.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HFX Wanderers The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Vancouver FC The Market 23%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.99/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.82
+11% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / -38%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
343 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 80%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
24.0 Crosses 15.1
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HFX Wanderers
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Vancouver FC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.91 xG 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
335 Passes 306
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.06.2025 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 1-0 HT 0-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
18.05.2025 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 0-2 HT 0-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
05.10.2024 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
05.08.2024 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 3-2 HT 1-1 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
24.06.2024 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 0-4 HT 0-2 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers CAPL
19.04.2024 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 2-0 HT 1-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HFX Wanderers
1-2
AWAY Vancouver FC
1.40 xG 1.89
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 3
383 Passes 213
82% Pass Accuracy 69%
39 Box Touches 11
29 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW HFX Wanderers vs Vancouver FC
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Vancouver FC came out on the right side of a one-goal game with HFX Wanderers 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our model won't enjoy this one — HFX Wanderers at 58% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, possession split 61% to 39% in HFX Wanderers's favour, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.40 to 1.89.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, HFX Wanderers had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.83 a game for HFX Wanderers against 0.83 for Vancouver FC.

HFX Wanderers vs Vancouver FC Result & Final Score

HFX Wanderers 1-2 Vancouver FC in the Kanada - Premier League on 04/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

HFX Wanderers vs Vancouver FC Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a HFX Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split HFX Wanderers 58%, draw 21%, Vancouver FC 21%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (HFX Wanderers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (HFX Wanderers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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