Foshan Nanshi 2-0 Yanbian Longding — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 30 Jun 2024

📅30/06/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.23
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.64
6+ Goals
8%
14.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 33% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.0pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.3pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Foshan Nanshi EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Yanbian Longding EU Bookmakers 34%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.13/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.19
+12% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.8
17.9 Crosses 11.7
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Foshan Nanshi
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Yanbian Longding
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
1.06 xG 1.53
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
272 Passes 312
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.05.2024 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding 3-2 HT 1-1 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
10.10.2023 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 1-1 HT 0-0 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding ÇİN2
13.09.2023 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 1-1 HT 1-0 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding ÇİN2
18.06.2023 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding 1-1 HT 0-1 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
03.06.2023 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding 2-0 HT 2-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Foshan Nanshi
2-0
AWAY Yanbian Longding
1.89 xG 0.61
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
259 Passes 370
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 12
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Foshan Nanshi vs Yanbian Longding
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Foshan Nanshi saw off Yanbian Longding 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Foshan Nanshi made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Foshan Nanshi had 43% of the ball to Yanbian Longding's 57%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.89 to 0.61.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Yanbian Longding led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Foshan Nanshi and 1.60 for Yanbian Longding.

What was the final score of Foshan Nanshi vs Yanbian Longding?

Foshan Nanshi 2-0 Yanbian Longding in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Foshan Nanshi vs Yanbian Longding?

Before kick-off our model rated a Foshan Nanshi win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Foshan Nanshi 37%, draw 27%, Yanbian Longding 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Foshan Nanshi), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Foshan Nanshi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇİN2 More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division
30 Jun 2024
11:00 Ganzhou Ruishi vs Shanghai Port II Analysis →
11:30 Hubei Istar vs Taian Tiankuang Analysis →
12:00 Guangzhou E-Power vs Hainan Star Analysis →
12:30 Quanzhou Yassin vs Guangxi Hengchen Analysis →
14:30 Guangxi Lanhang vs Shenzhen Juniors Analysis →
14:30 Shanghai Jiading vs Dalian Zhixing Analysis →