Guangxi Lanhang 1-1 Shenzhen Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 30 Jun 2024

📅30/06/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.65
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
49%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.86
Over 2.5
54%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
19%
+7.9pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.1pp
49%
Away Win
57%
-7.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
50%
-3.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
50%
+3.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.8pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guangxi Lanhang EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Shenzhen Juniors EU Bookmakers 61%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
237 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guangxi Lanhang
1-1
AWAY Shenzhen Juniors
0.54 xG 0.48
32% Ball Possession 68%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
168 Passes 434
69% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 12
13 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Guangxi Lanhang vs Shenzhen Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guangxi Lanhang and Shenzhen Juniors couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Shenzhen Juniors at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Guangxi Lanhang had 32% of the ball to Shenzhen Juniors's 68%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 0.54 to 0.48.

What was the final score of Guangxi Lanhang vs Shenzhen Juniors?

Guangxi Lanhang 1-1 Shenzhen Juniors in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guangxi Lanhang vs Shenzhen Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shenzhen Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Guangxi Lanhang 27%, draw 24%, Shenzhen Juniors 49%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Shenzhen Juniors) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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