Vikingur R. 2-1 Fram Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 30 Jun 2024

📅30/06/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.63
Over 2.5
64%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.5
No
41%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-8.3pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.2pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+4.1pp
36%
Under 2.5
34%
+1.8pp
64%
Over 2.5
66%
-1.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
62%
-3.4pp
41%
BTTS No
38%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vikingur R. EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Fram Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 22%
+3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
1.80/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.89
+28% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
463 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 75%
30.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
28.1 Crosses 19.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vikingur R.
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Fram Reykjavik
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.27 xG 1.05
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
392 Passes 230
81% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.04.2024 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 0-1 HT 0-0 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
03.09.2023 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 2-3 HT 1-2 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
11.06.2023 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 3-1 HT 3-1 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
23.02.2023 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 0-3 HT 0-2 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZLK
07.08.2022 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 3-3 HT 1-0 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
12.05.2022 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 4-1 HT 3-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vikingur R.
2-1
AWAY Fram Reykjavik
1.66 xG 1.44
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
465 Passes 353
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vikingur R. vs Fram Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vikingur R. squeezed past Fram Reykjavik 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Vikingur R. as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Vikingur R. had 55% of the ball to Fram Reykjavik's 45%, shots finished 9-18, expected goals 1.66 to 1.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vikingur R. had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Vikingur R. and 1.17 for Fram Reykjavik.

What was the final score of Vikingur R. vs Fram Reykjavik?

Vikingur R. 2-1 Fram Reykjavik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vikingur R. vs Fram Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vikingur R. win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Vikingur R. 52%, draw 25%, Fram Reykjavik 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vikingur R.), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vikingur R.) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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